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Tag Archives: output gap
US Output Gap: Still negative
John Taylor recently showed how the United States is currently much farther away from returning to “potential output” compared with the recession of the early 1980s, where above-average output growth during the recovery secured a return to the potential output path. Apart from the obvious implications for the evaluation of the current US recovery, this has led to a deeper discussion about the dangers of extrapolating “potential” output from past values (e.g., maybe the 2007 value was just too high?). James Bullard of St. Louis Fed argues (pdf of speech) that the financial crisis lead to a very persistent negative wealth shock that has pushed potential output down. Hence, the … Continue reading
Posted in Economics, Economists, Monetary policy
Tagged David López-Salido, Financial crisis, James Bullard, John Cochrane, John Taylor, Jordi Galí, Mark Gertler, output gap, Paul Krugman, United States, University of Copenhagen, Zeuthen Lectures
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